Kevin_Martin's Blog

Hey guys, Kevin from Tornado Labs. Testing again today, so lets see how it goes. here we go.


ONTARIO WEATHER SERVICE
TORNADO DYNAMICS LABS
MARCH 18, 2008 - 4:00am PDT

Tornado dynamics computer is what it is. A thinking machine. I give it information, and it automatically will feed off it. Now, one thing I gave it was AI, or artificial intel. This means that when something goes right tornado wise, it will remember what it was that did it. When something goes wrong, it will also remember it. It will then either keep, or replace certain numbers, and fix itself for the next round.
I ran the computer again, and it is not showing the shades anymore. The shades use to be best lift area, etc etc, but it has found a way to merge those shadings into level outlines only, making it possibly a bit easier to read.
Level 1,2,3,4,5 and I do not know what the new levels mean yet. Today will be the test. I assume that the higher the level the better chance of a tornado. Lets assume that for today.
Today it shows a pretty active afternoon in the TX?AR/LA area with level 4. This activity would move through Arkansas throughout the day, becoming level 5 after sunset. Level 5 just West of the Ar/TN state border, and also in Southern Arkansas. A number of level 5 spots are showing up on this new 1 billion lines of code the computer developed. If it is telling the Truth, a group of supercells in Louisiana later at sunset and after looks possible from Louisiana through Arkansas, and yes, level 5 in spots. The Louisiana area looks like it is ahead of the main line feature which will show up on radar during that time. So this is an area of concern. Will this move into Memphis again overnight? If this works, new maps will be developed by 3pmPDT today for overnight. Stay tuned...

Major metro areas:

Houston / Galveston: Map 1 is showing level 1. Probably a tornado warning, brief tornado. again, levels are not known and are TBD at this time, but assume the higher the worse tornado OR better chance of ANY tornado touchdown. Assume that please. By map two, which is Early Evening to Sunset, level 3-4 appears. What this means is sometime between afternoon and evening, convection or thunderstorms will most likely form in the Gulf and move into the Galveston area. It would rapidly form, and be dangerous if this happens. Going from level 1 to level 4 in one map means rapid atmospheric rotation is expected with increasing storms. This quickly passes after sunset, and if this is telling the truth, Houston/Galveston would be safe then as the areas well North and East of there get ransacked.

Shreveport, LA: This area needs to be on special lookout today. By afternoon, you level 4 is just to the West. Again, levels are TBD but assume it means something the higher it goes. Level 4 will move into a large area including the metro of this city by Early Evening - Sunset. Increasing chances of tornadoes during that time frame sounds good, and if level 4 means something high, this could be significant.
After sunset, most of the metro will still be in tornadic condition chances, however mainly most to the East and North.

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Afternoon to Evening 3/18/08

 Reduced: 51% of original size [ 800 x 619 ] - Click to view full image

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Early Evening - Sunset 3/18/08

 Reduced: 51% of original size [ 800 x 619 ] - Click to view full image

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Sunset - Early Night 3/18/08

 Reduced: 51% of original size [ 800 x 619 ] - Click to view full image

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VIEW THE TEST SECTION LOOPING THAT LETS YOU ANIMATE THE IMAGES!

http://www.owsweather.com/outtwloop.html

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Wish it luck, and most importantly everyone stay safe.

K. MARTIN