The Ontario Weather Service tornado forecast labs project nails a tornado touchdown by county.
With all the people in the world, can tornadoes be predicted before they wake up in the morning? OWS thinks it can.
Corona, California ( OWS ) February 21, 2008 - - The holy grail in weather forecasting is tornado prediction. How far in advance can tornadoes be predicted? How far in advance can tornado watches be issued? Is there a way? Kevin Martin of the Ontario Weather Service has stepped up to the plate.
Kevin Martin, 23, has been developing a system model in his upstairs office. He uses one of his own computers to compute the numbers in. Numbers that are not numerical model made, but made through a 3D 1 meter resolution model of the United States. Is it possible that tornadoes can be seen ahead of the storm?
The model will not be distributed via software. This subscription service is how the Ontario Weather Service research will keep going into the future of forecasting. Kevin Martin would like to keep it free for many people, however the service subscription will give county zoom in maps to news and weather services nationwide. Through one email, lives can be saved. The test of this first technology was made possible over the Winter of 2008, during the recent tornado outbreaks. It was only a matter of time before county wide predictions might be made.
History was made when on February 21, 2008, Kevin Martin attempted to forecast a tornado by county or state section. Kevin Martin wrote the forecast and submitted it to his website at 3:00am that day. The wording is as follows:
"All spotters in Louisiana will go to the Central and Eastern Louisiana area during this time frame. Likely hood of rotation in the thunderstorms that form is likely and the county to be in would be Avoyelles or Rapides where best initiation looks to be. "
During that time-frame, the NWS issued a tornado warning for Avoyelles County in Louisiana. The Storm Prediction Center report showed that a tornado touched down, knocking a tree into a house. Rescue and fire crews were on the scene shortly after.
With gaining confidence in this, Kevin Martin may be able to save lives during these monsters. With more study, it may be possible to nail county tornado forecasts before the storm even forms.
The Ontario Weather Service is running a free trial to select chasers and one storm chase company. Success rates will be given at the end of tornado season on how this formula did. If successful, subscription services will open, and be very cheap so everyone can afford it. The only way for OWS to continue research is subscription into these zoom in maps, with freeways and counties outlined. If OWS is offered a grant to continue free service, it will remove subscription services. So tell your friends and family where to go. Ontario Weather Service Tornado Labs Forecasts...
"PinPoint Tornadocast"
Ontario Weather Service team
| Member Comments | Total Comments: 1 |
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stormchaser06
Feb 22, 2008 | 3:36 PM |
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My name is Kevin Martin. I am 23 years old, and just into the weather. I've studied it basically on my own for quite sometime. To be quite honest from 14 years old, I have spent over 75% of my free time on the weather where I still do it today. To show you a bit of what I do, please visit my site at
www.ontarioweatherservice
.com
I run the site. What it is is a forecasting site for the Southern California area. I have been doing this for 8 years, but archiving the site for two of those. This is my 8th year doing the Ontario Weather Service. I use to be just an email service in the beginning. No website. You'll find my forecasting ways pretty cool, and I even have some formulas. These formulas would help out FOX weather forecasts as well. I developed them on my own for santa ana winds, frontal zone winds, and even thunderstorm strength. Thanks for reading!
Member Since: 12/15/2006